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Alternative approaches to medium-long term sea level rise mapping in Southern Miami Beach (Florida, USA)
Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science ( IF 2.8 ) Pub Date : 2021-04-17 , DOI: 10.1016/j.ecss.2021.107365
Pablo Fraile-Jurado , María C. Villarín , Stephen B. Leatherman , Miguel Fernández-Díaz

The purpose of this paper is to evaluate three temporal mapping approaches to predict Sea Level Rise (SLR) in the Southern Miami-Dade County, Florida, USA. These three temporal approaches provide an alternative to SLR prediction by the common binary method based on Digital Elevation Models (DEMs). The first temporal approach gathers seven theoretical and semi-empirical scenarios of SLR by the end the century in a single map. The second temporal approach is based on the calculation of the time horizon to inundate each cell of the DEM during ordinary high tides. Finally, the third temporal approach maps the minimum average rate of SLR by which a cell will be inundated by the year 2100. These approaches indicate that, in the second half of the 21st century, a large area on the coast of Miami will be inundated due to SLR. A survey conducted with a group of 73 experts concluded that these approaches were more suitable than other classical approaches for mapping SLR in urban areas.



中文翻译:

南部迈阿密海滩(美国佛罗里达)中长期海平面上升测绘的替代方法

本文的目的是评估三种时间制图方法,以预测美国佛罗里达州南部迈阿密-戴德县的海平面上升(SLR)。这三种时间方法通过基于数字高程模型(DEM)的通用二进制方法为SLR预测提供了一种替代方法。第一个时间方法在一个地图中收集了到本世纪末的七个SLR理论和半经验场景。第二种临时方法是基于时间范围的计算,以在普通涨潮时淹没DEM的每个单元。最后,第三种时间方法绘制了到2100年将淹没细胞的SLR最小平均速率。这些方法表明,在21世纪下半叶,迈阿密海岸的大片区域将被淹没由于单反。

更新日期:2021-04-18
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