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Coupling environmental transition and social prosperity: a scenario-analysis of the Italian case
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics ( IF 5.059 ) Pub Date : 2021-04-15 , DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2021.03.007
A. Cieplinski , S. D’Alessandro , T. Distefano , P. Guarnieri

This paper investigates to what extent green growth is able to promote social equity and which social policies can complement environmental policies to achieve social prosperity and sustainability. We develop a dynamic macrosimulation model to explore the social and structural effects of the Italian national energy and climate plan. We show that green growth alone will not result in better societal conditions and needs to be compensated with social policies that directly tackle inequality. Consequently, we select two social policies that are expected to improve income distribution, namely a basic income programme and working time reduction. Our scenario analysis shows that working time reduction leads to an increase in employment and a parallel decrease in aggregate demand that causes a reduction in emissions and inequality. The basic income programme reduces inequality by sustaining aggregate demand which, in turn, partially offsets the positive environmental effects of the energy plan.



中文翻译:

耦合环境转型与社会繁荣:意大利案例的情景分析

本文研究了绿色增长在多大程度上能够促进社会公平,以及哪些社会政策可以补充环境政策以实现社会繁荣和可持续性。我们开发了一个动态的宏观模拟模型,以探索意大利国家能源和气候计划的社会和结构影响。我们表明,仅绿色增长将不会带来更好的社会条件,需要直接解决不平等问题的社会政策来弥补。因此,我们选择了两项有望改善收入分配的社会政策,即基本收入计划和减少工作时间。我们的情景分析表明,减少工作时间可导致就业增加,总需求同时减少,从而减少排放和不平等现象。

更新日期:2021-04-21
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