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The social costs of crime: the erosion of trust between citizens and public institutions
Economics of Governance ( IF 0.781 ) Pub Date : 2021-04-11 , DOI: 10.1007/s10101-021-00251-0
Angelo Cozzubo , Elard Amaya , Juan Cueto

More than half the population considers lack of security a significant national problem in Peru, and one in four citizens has reported being the victim of a crime. However, empirical evidence remains scarce and does not factor in the social cost of crime. To this end, this paper seeks to contribute by measuring the short-term and long-term impacts of crime victimization on trust in public institutions and identifying the vicious circles of distrust as suggested by the literature. We exploit a vast set of information from victimization surveys, police stations, and local government censuses by combining machine learning and matching algorithms. In line with the theory, we find that crime victimization reduces trust in public safety institutions in the short-term while eroding trust in institutions tasked with upholding criminal sanctions in the long-term. We also find that effects are critical for female and repeat victims. In addition to complying with balance and falsification tests, our results are robust to different types of matching and the potential presence of unobservable variables, which suggest that the findings may be causal.



中文翻译:

犯罪的社会代价:公民与公共机构之间的信任受到侵蚀

一半以上的人口认为缺乏安全是秘鲁的一个重大民族问题,四分之一的公民报告说是犯罪的受害者。但是,经验证据仍然很少,也没有考虑犯罪的社会成本。为此,本文力求通过衡量犯罪受害对公共机构信任的短期和长期影响做出贡献,并确定文献所建议的不信任恶性循环。我们通过结合机器学习和匹配算法,从受害者调查,警察局和地方政府普查中获取了大量信息。根据理论,我们发现,犯罪受害在短期内会降低对公共安全机构的信任,而长期而言会削弱对承担刑事制裁任务的机构的信任。我们还发现,这种影响对女性和重复受害人至关重要。除了遵守平衡和伪造测试外,我们的结果对于不同类型的匹配以及潜在的不可观察变量的存在也是可靠的,这表明发现可能是因果关系。

更新日期:2021-04-11
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