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Agriculture after a year with COVID-19: Any long-term implications for international trade policy?
Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics ( IF 9 ) Pub Date : 2021-04-01 , DOI: 10.1111/cjag.12274
William A. Kerr 1
Affiliation  

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) initiated shocks to the Canadian agri-food industry moving the sector away from its prepandemic equilibrium. Disequilibrium can mean, postshock, that sectors follow different paths of adjustment. The public and politicians appear to desire that economic activity returns to prepandemic norms—but this is far from assured. In the case of the Canadian agri-food industry, the postshock path of adjustment appears to be returning to the preshock equilibrium, or near to it. This provides a familiar and stable anchor for those whose lives are otherwise considerably disrupted by the pandemic. The multilateral international trade system has long been in need of reform—reforms that would benefit Canada's agri-food exporting sector. The pandemic has raised trade issues that require urgent action and some countries see this as an opportunity for reform. Canada has been at the forefront of this activity through the fostering, hosting, and chairing of the Ottawa Group of 13 World Trade Organization members that have been charged with bringing forward proposals for reform that will break the log jam in multilateral negotiations. The work of the Ottawa Group is examined and the likelihood of the initiative succeeding assessed.

中文翻译:

COVID-19 一年后的农业:对国际贸易政策有长期影响吗?

2019 年冠状病毒病 (COVID-19) 对加拿大农业食品行业造成了冲击,使该行业脱离了大流行前的平衡状态。失衡可能意味着,在冲击后,部门遵循不同的调整路径。公众和政界人士似乎希望经济活动恢复到大流行前的标准——但这远不能保证。就加拿大农业食品行业而言,震后调整路径似乎正在恢复或接近震前均衡。这为那些生活因大流行而受到严重干扰的人提供了熟悉和稳定的锚点。多边国际贸易体系长期以来一直需要改革——改革将使加拿大的农产品出口部门受益。大流行引发了需要采取紧急行动的贸易问题,一些国家将此视为改革的机会。加拿大一直处于这项活动的最前沿,通过培养、主持和主持由 13 个世界贸易组织成员组成的渥太华集团,这些成员负责提出改革建议,打破僵局。登录果酱的多边谈判。渥太华小组的工作受到审查,并评估了该倡议成功的可能性。
更新日期:2021-05-28
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