ABSTRACT

This paper analyzes the relationship between a new indicator of economic context, economic complexity (EC), and fertility change in Italian provinces between 2006 and 2015. We hypothesize that the level of EC is associated with fertility as it reflects a territory’s capacity to innovate, grow and create job opportunities. The results illustrate a clear positive association between EC and fertility change across Italian provinces for the period considered, net of traditional fertility predictors. Those areas that stand at the frontiers of EC are also more likely to dominate and adapt to the negative consequences of globalization.

中文翻译：

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经济复杂性和生育率：来自低生育率国家的见解

摘要

本文分析了 2006 年至 2015 年意大利各省的经济环境新指标、经济复杂性 (EC) 与生育率变化之间的关系。我们假设 EC 水平与生育率相关，因为它反映了一个地区的创新能力，发展和创造就业机会。结果表明，在考虑的时期内，EC 与意大利各省的生育率变化之间存在明显的正相关，剔除传统生育率预测因素。那些位于欧共体前沿的领域也更有可能主导和适应全球化的负面后果。