Research on crime and neighborhood racial composition establishes that Black neighborhoods with high levels of violent crime will experience an increase in Black residents and concentrated disadvantage—due to the constrained housing choices Black people face. Some studies on the relationship between gentrification and crime, however, show that high-crime neighborhoods can experience reinvestment as well as displacement of Black residents. In Washington, DC, we have seen both trends—concentration of poverty and segregation as well as racial turnover and reinvestment. We employ a spatial analysis using a merged data set including crime data, Census data, and American Community Survey (ACS) data to analyze the relationship between crime and neighborhood change at the Census tract level. Our findings demonstrate the importance of distinguishing between periods of neighborhood decline and ascent, between the effects of property and violent crime, and between racial change and socioeconomic change.

对犯罪和邻里种族构成的研究表明，由于黑人面临的住房选择有限，暴力犯罪高发的黑人社区将经历黑人居民增加和集中不利的局面。但是，一些关于高档化与犯罪之间关系的研究表明，高犯罪率的社区可能会遭受再投资以及黑人居民的流离失所。在华盛顿特区，我们看到了两种趋势-贫困和种族隔离的集中以及种族流动和再投资。我们使用包含犯罪数据，人口普查数据和美国社区调查（ACS）数据的合并数据集进行空间分析，以分析人口普查区域内犯罪与邻里变化之间的关系。