ABSTRACT

Income diversification is an essential livelihood strategy for farmers facing unsustainable groundwater withdrawals. This paper develops a general structural equation model that analyses socio-psychological factors that affect the intentions to adopt and the actual adoption of income diversification in response to groundwater scarcity. The developed model includes affective attitudes, instrumental attitudes and self-efficacy. This model explains 55% and 36% of the variance in intentions to pursue and the actual pursuit of income diversification among farmers in the Rafsanjan Plain, Iran, respectively. These results can inform policies for promoting income diversification, and have implications for sustaining farmers’ livelihoods and groundwater resources.

摘要

对于面临不可持续的地下水抽取的农民来说，收入多样化是一项必不可少的生计策略。本文开发了一个一般结构方程模型，该模型分析了影响采用意图和实际采用收入多样化以应对地下水稀缺的社会心理因素。所发展的模型包括情感态度、工具态度和自我效能。该模型分别解释了伊朗拉夫桑詹平原农民追求收入多样化的意图和实际追求差异的 55% 和 36%。这些结果可以为促进收入多样化的政策提供信息，并对维持农民的生计和地下水资源产生影响。