Gentrification, displacement and social exclusion are hot topics of debate in the city of Amsterdam, the Netherlands. A current phenomena is short-term rentals of private homes. In its peer-to-peer form, this phenomena has grown sharply, facilitated by services such as Airbnb. Its growth has caused controversies among communities in touristic areas of Amsterdam, since it contributes to a changed social fabric, increased housing prices and overall gentrification. In the Netherlands and elsewhere, municipal and national policy makers are interested to regulate short-term rentals. In order to provide insights into qualitative policy effects, we develop a micro-level agent-based simulation. Our spatial model simulates residential migration based on income and house pricing. The underlying economic theory is that of Smith’s rent-gap hypothesis. Our model is among the first agent-based approaches investigating this type of rental market, and the first to model a specific housing market, including social housing, in a geographically accurate way. Simulation analysis shows that the touristic rental market has caused considerable changes in housing prices and population development. We find that more lower income citizens remain in the city centre when regulation of the market is stronger, and that banning the touristic market restrains the overall increase in house prices, compared to the business-as-usual scenario. However, the feasibility of enforcement of regulation, and its libertarian consequences, must be considered.

绅士化，流离失所和社会排斥是荷兰阿姆斯特丹市的热门话题。当前的现象是私人房屋的短期出租。在Airbnb等服务的推动下，这种现象以点对点的形式急剧增长。它的发展引起了阿姆斯特丹旅游区社区之间的争议，因为它促进了社会结构的改变，住房价格的上涨和整体绅士化。在荷兰和其他地方，市政和国家政策制定者有兴趣监管短期租金。为了提供对定性政策效果的见解，我们开发了一个基于代理的微观级别的模拟。我们的空间模型基于收入和房屋价格模拟了居民迁徙。潜在的经济理论是史密斯的地租缺口假说。我们的模型是最早研究这种租赁市场的基于代理的方法，也是第一个以地理上准确的方式为特定住房市场（包括社会住房）建模的模型。模拟分析表明，旅游租赁市场已引起房价和人口发展的重大变化。我们发现，在市场监管更加严格的情况下，更多低收入公民留在市中心，与常规情况相比，禁止旅游市场限制了房价的整体上涨。但是，必须考虑实施法规的可行性及其自由主义的后果。以地理上准确的方式。模拟分析表明，旅游租赁市场已引起房价和人口发展的重大变化。我们发现，在市场监管更加严格的情况下，更多低收入公民留在市中心，与常规情况相比，禁止旅游市场限制了房价的整体上涨。但是，必须考虑实施法规的可行性及其自由主义的后果。以地理上准确的方式。模拟分析表明，旅游租赁市场已引起房价和人口发展的重大变化。我们发现，在市场监管更加严格的情况下，更多低收入公民留在市中心，与常规情况相比，禁止旅游市场限制了房价的整体上涨。但是，必须考虑实施法规的可行性及其自由主义的后果。与通常情况相比，禁止旅游市场限制了房价的整体上涨。但是，必须考虑实施法规的可行性及其自由主义的后果。与通常情况相比，禁止旅游市场限制了房价的整体上涨。但是，必须考虑实施法规的可行性及其自由主义的后果。