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Testing a simple formula for calculating approximate intensity-duration-frequency curves
Environmental Research Letters ( IF 6.7 ) Pub Date : 2021-03-11 , DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd4ab
Rasmus E Benestad , Julia Lutz , Anita Verpe Dyrrdal , Jan Erik Haugen , Kajsa M Parding , Andreas Dobler

A simple formula for estimating approximate values of return levels for sub-daily rainfall is presented and tested. It was derived from a combination of simple mathematical principles, approximations and fitted to 10 year return levels taken from intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves representing 14 sites in Oslo. The formula was subsequently evaluated against IDF curves from independent sites elsewhere in Norway. Since it only needs 24 h rain gauge data as input, it can provide approximate estimates for the IDF curves used to describe sub-daily rainfall return levels. In this respect, it can be considered as means of downscaling with respect to timescale, given an approximate power-law dependency between temporal scales. One clear benefit with this framework is that observational data is far more abundant for 24 h rain gauge records than for sub-daily measurements. Furthermore, it does not assume stationarity, and is well-suited for projecting IDF curves for a future climate.



中文翻译:

测试一个简单的公式以计算强度-持续时间-频率曲线

提出并测试了一个简单的公式,用于估算次日降雨的返回水平的近似值。它是由简单的数学原理,近似值结合而成,并根据代表奥斯陆14个地点的强度-持续时间-频率(IDF)曲线得出的10年回报水平进行拟合。随后根据挪威其他地方独立站点的IDF曲线对该公式进行了评估。由于它仅需要24小时雨量计数据作为输入,因此它可以为用于描述次日雨量返回水平的IDF曲线提供近似估计。在这方面,考虑到时间尺度之间的近似幂律相关性,可以将其视为相对于时间尺度缩减的手段。该框架的一个明显好处是,24小时雨量计记录的观测数据比次日测量的观测数据丰富得多。此外,它不具有平稳性,非常适合预测未来气候的IDF曲线。

更新日期:2021-03-11
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