Purpose

The purpose of this study is to present a new failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) approach based on fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) methods and multi-objective programming model for risk assessment in the planning phase of the oil and gas construction projects (OGCP) in Iran.

Design/methodology/approach

This research contains multiple steps. First, 19 major potential health and safety executive (HSE) risks in OGCP were classified into six categories with the Delphi method. These factors were distinguished by the review of project documentation, checklist analysis and consulting with experts. Then, using the fuzzy SWARA method, the authors calculated the weights of major HSE risks. Subsequently, FMEA and PROMETHEE approaches were used to identify the priority of main risk factors. Eventually, a binary multi-objective linear programming approach was developed to select the risk response strategies, and an augmented e-constraint method (AECM) was used.

Findings

Regarding the project triple well-known constraints of time, cost and quality, which organizations usually confront, the HSE risks of OGCP were identified and prioritized. Also, the appropriate risk response strategies were also suggested to the managers to be adopted regarding the situations.

Originality/value

The present research points at the HSE risks’ assessment integrating the fuzzy FMEA, step-wise weight assessment ratio analysis and PROMETHEE techniques with the AECM. Further to the authors’ knowledge, the quantitative assessment of the HSE risks of OGCP has not been done using the combination of the fuzzy FMEA, MCDM and AECMs.

中文翻译：

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混合模糊 MCDM 和 FMEA 与线性规划方法相结合的健康和安全执行风险：案例研究

目的

本研究的目的是提出一种基于模糊多准则决策 (MCDM) 方法和多目标规划模型的新的失效模式和影响分析 (FMEA) 方法，用于油气规划阶段的风险评估。伊朗的建设项目（OGCP）。

设计/方法/方法

这项研究包含多个步骤。首先，使用德尔菲法将 OGCP 中的 19 个主要潜在健康与安全执行 (HSE) 风险分为六类。这些因素的区别在于项目文件的审查、清单分析和专家咨询。然后，作者使用模糊 SWARA 方法计算了主要 HSE 风险的权重。随后，FMEA 和 PROMETHEE 方法被用于确定主要风险因素的优先级。最终，开发了二元多目标线性规划方法来选择风险响应策略，并使用增强电子约束方法（AECM）。

发现

对于组织通常面临的时间、成本和质量三重众所周知的项目约束，OGCP 的 HSE 风险被识别并确定了优先级。此外，还建议管理人员根据情况采取适当的风险应对策略。

原创性/价值

目前的研究重点是将模糊 FMEA、逐步权重评估比率分析和 PROMETHEE 技术与 AECM 相结合的 HSE 风险评估。进一步据作者所知，尚未使用模糊 FMEA、MCDM 和 AECM 的组合对 OGCP 的 HSE 风险进行定量评估。