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Ranking policing strategies as a function of criminal complaints: application of the PROMETHEE II method in the Brazilian context
Journal of Modelling in Management Pub Date : 2020-12-30 , DOI: 10.1108/jm2-05-2020-0122
Marcio Pereira Basilio , Valdecy Pereira , Max William Coelho de Oliveira , Antonio Fernandes da Costa Neto

Purpose

The purpose of this study is modelling of a problem of policing strategy order using a multicriteria method.

Design/methodology/approach

For the construction of the impact matrix strategies under the reduction of crime rates, considering a portfolio of crimes, a questionnaire applied to specialists was used. In a second moment, defined the criteria and strategies to be ordered, the multicriteria PROMETHEE II method was used, which with the help of the Visual PROMETHEE software, emulated the systematised data in the impact matrix and produced the final ordering of the most efficient strategies, in the fight against crime, in the perception of decision makers.

Findings

As a result, this research revealed that radio patrol, when used in a non-randomised manner, is the most effective policing strategy in reducing the 18 criminal demands studied in the perception of decision makers after data emulation with the PROMETHEE II method.

Research limitations/implications

As research implications, it can be inferred that the use of multicriteria methods in the modelling of problems in public security area can contribute to the rationalisation of use of the available means in the fight against crime in large cities. This research showed that it is possible to use customised policing strategies to absolute reality.

Practical implications

The practical impact of this research lies in optimising the resources available to law enforcement agencies in the fight against crime in general.

Social implications

It can be inferred that by choosing appropriate strategies to combat local crime, there is a direct implication in optimising the resources that the government makes available to police agencies. This optimisation allows pressure reduction under the public budget for more features. The model for choosing more effective strategies contributes to local crimes decrease, increasing the sense of the population security.

Originality/value

The originality lies in filling a gap in the literature with the elaboration of the impact matrix of policing strategies in reducing criminal indices and in their associated use in ordering strategies through a multicriteria method. This study contributed to applied police intelligence.



中文翻译:

作为刑事投诉功能的警务策略排名:PROMETHEE II 方法在巴西背景下的应用

目的

本研究的目的是使用多标准方法对警务策略顺序问题进行建模。

设计/方法/方法

为了在降低犯罪率的情况下构建影响矩阵策略,考虑到犯罪组合,使用了适用于专家的问卷。在第二个时刻,定义了要排序的标准和策略,使用多标准 PROMETHEE II 方法,该方法在 Visual PROMETHEE 软件的帮助下,模拟影响矩阵中的系统化数据,并生成最有效策略的最终排序,在打击犯罪中,在决策者的认知中。

发现

因此,这项研究表明,在使用 PROMETHEE II 方法进行数据仿真后,在决策者的认知中,以非随机方式使用无线电巡逻是减少 18 项犯罪要求的最有效警务策略。

研究限制/影响

作为研究意义,可以推断在公共安全领域的问题建模中使用多标准方法有助于合理化使用可用手段在大城市打击犯罪。这项研究表明,可以将定制的警务策略用于绝对现实。

实际影响

这项研究的实际影响在于优化执法机构在打击一般犯罪活动中可用的资源。

社会影响

可以推断,通过选择适当的策略打击当地犯罪,对优化政府提供给警察机构的资源具有直接意义。这种优化允许在公共预算下减少更多功能的压力。选择更有效策略的模式有助于减少地方犯罪,增加人口安全感。

原创性/价值

独创性在于填补了文献中的空白,详细阐述了减少犯罪指数的警务策略的影响矩阵,以及它们在通过多标准方法排序策略中的相关使用。这项研究有助于应用警察情报。

更新日期:2020-12-30
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