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Conditional recipes for predicting impacts and prescribing solutions for externalities: the case of COVID-19 and tourism
Tourism Recreation Research Pub Date : 2021-03-12 , DOI: 10.1080/02508281.2021.1881708
Weng Marc Lim 1, 2
Affiliation  

ABSTRACT

The omnipotent and omnipresent effect of externalities fundamentally affect the way research is conducted. This research note seeks to clarify the ways in which research can be designed to predict the impacts of externalities and to prescribe solutions to mitigate the negative impacts or to leverage off the positive impacts from externalities. Using the COVID-19 pandemic and the tourism industry as a case, this research note demonstrates that taking a conditional approach is necessary to delineate the differences in impact in prediction and prescription endeavours, as the absence of boundary conditions would limit interpretations to only descriptions and associations, regardless of whether primary or secondary research is pursued. In doing so, this research note hopes to inspire greater predictive- and prescriptive-oriented research and to support future research endeavours in this direction.



中文翻译:

预测外部性影响和规定解决方案的条件配方:以 COVID-19 和旅游业为例

摘要

外部性的无所不能和无所不在的影响从根本上影响了研究的进行方式。本研究报告旨在阐明如何设计研究以预测外部性的影响,并制定解决方案以减轻负面影响或利用外部性的积极影响。以 COVID-19 大流行和旅游业为例,本研究报告表明,有必要采取有条件的方法来描述预测和处方努力的影响差异,因为没有边界条件会将解释限制为仅描述和无论是进行初级研究还是次级研究。在这样做,

更新日期:2021-03-12
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