This paper provides the first comprehensive assessment of the outcome of Paul Ehrlich's and Stephen Schneider's counteroffer (1995) to economist Julian Simon following Ehrlich's loss in the famous Ehrlich‐Simon wager on economic growth and the price of natural resources (1980‐1990). Our main conclusion in a previous article is that, for indicators that can be measured satisfactorily or can be inferred from proxies, the outcome favors Ehrlich‐Schneider in the first decade following their offer. This second article extends the timeline towards the present time period to examine the long‐term trends of each indicator and proxy, and assesses the reasons invoked by Simon to refuse the bet.

中文翻译：

---

想要再次下注吗？保罗·埃里希（Paul Ehrlich）对朱利安·西蒙（Julian Simon）的反收购报价的评估，第2部分：评论

本文是对保罗·埃里希（Paul Ehrlich）和史蒂芬·施耐德（Stephen Schneider）（1995）向经济学家朱利安·西蒙（Julian Simon）提出还价的结果的首次综合评估，这是埃里希（Ehrlich）在著名的埃里希·西蒙（Ehrlich-Simon）关于经济增长和自然资源价格的赌注（1980-1990）上的损失之后。我们在上一篇文章中的主要结论是，对于可以令人满意地测量或可以从代理推断的指标，结果在提出后的第一个十年中有利于Ehrlich-Schneider。第二篇文章将时间线扩展到当前时间段，以检查每个指标和代理的长期趋势，并评估Simon拒绝下注的原因。