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Trade-offs between physical risk and economic reward affect fishers’ vulnerability to changing storminess
Global Environmental Change ( IF 8.9 ) Pub Date : 2021-03-11 , DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102228
Nigel C. Sainsbury , Peter W. Schuhmann , Rachel A. Turner , Gaetano Grilli , John K. Pinnegar , Martin J. Genner , Stephen D. Simpson

Climate change-driven alterations in storm frequency and intensity threaten the wellbeing of billions of people who depend on fisheries for food security and livelihoods. Weather conditions shape vulnerability to both loss of life and reduced fishing opportunities through their influence on fishers' daily participation decisions. The trade-off between physical risk at sea and the economic rewards of continued fishing under adverse weather conditions is a critical component of fishers’ trip decisions but is poorly understood. We employed a stated choice experiment with skippers from a temperate mixed-species fishery in southwest England to empirically assess how fishers trade off the risks from greater wind speed and wave height with the benefits of expected catch and prices. Technical fishing and socio-economic data were collected for individual fishers to identify the factors influencing trade-off decisions. Fishers preferred increased wind speed and wave height up to a threshold, after which they became increasingly averse to worsening conditions. Fishing gear, vessel length, presence of crew, vessel ownership, age, recent fishing success and reliance on fishing income all influenced the skippers’ decisions to go to sea. This study provides a first insight into the socio-economic, environmental, and technical fishing factors that can influence the sensitivity of individual fishers to changing storminess. These insights can help to inform fisheries climate vulnerability assessments and the development of adaptation measures.



中文翻译:

人身风险与经济回报之间的取舍影响了渔民抵御暴风雨变化的脆弱性

由气候变化驱动的风暴频率和强度变化威胁着数十亿依靠渔业谋求粮食安全和生计的人的福祉。天气状况通过影响渔民的日常参与决定,使其既易丧生,又减少了捕捞机会。海上人身风险与恶劣天气条件下继续捕鱼的经济收益之间的权衡是渔民出行决定的关键组成部分,但人们对此知之甚少。我们对英格兰西南部温带混养渔业的船长进行了陈述选择实验,以实证评估渔民如何权衡风速和浪高带来的风险以及预期的捕捞量和价格。为单个渔民收集了技术捕鱼和社会经济数据,以确定影响权衡决定的因素。渔民更喜欢将风速和海浪高度提高到一个阈值,此后他们变得越来越厌恶恶劣的环境。渔具,船只长度,船员人数,船只所有权,年龄,最近的捕鱼成功以及对捕鱼收入的依赖都影响了船长出海的决定。这项研究提供了对社会经济,环境和技术捕捞因素的初步见解,这些因素会影响单个渔民对变化的暴风雨的敏感性。这些见解可以帮助为渔业气候脆弱性评估和适应措施的制定提供信息。渔民更喜欢将风速和海浪高度提高到一个阈值,此后他们变得越来越厌恶恶劣的环境。渔具,船只长度,船员人数,船只所有权,年龄,最近的捕鱼成功以及对捕鱼收入的依赖都影响了船长出海的决定。这项研究提供了对社会经济,环境和技术捕捞因素的初步见解,这些因素会影响单个渔民对变化的暴风雨的敏感性。这些见解可以帮助为渔业气候脆弱性评估和适应措施的制定提供信息。渔民更喜欢将风速和海浪高度提高到一个阈值,此后他们变得越来越厌恶恶劣的环境。渔具,船只长度,船员人数,船只所有权,年龄,最近的捕鱼成功以及对捕鱼收入的依赖都影响了船长出海的决定。这项研究提供了对社会经济,环境和技术捕捞因素的初步见解,这些因素会影响单个渔民对变化的暴风雨的敏感性。这些见解可以帮助为渔业气候脆弱性评估和适应措施的制定提供信息。最近的捕鱼成功和对捕鱼收入的依赖都影响了船长出海的决定。这项研究提供了对社会经济,环境和技术捕捞因素的初步见解,这些因素会影响单个渔民对变化的暴风雨的敏感性。这些见解可以帮助为渔业气候脆弱性评估和适应措施的制定提供信息。最近的捕鱼成功和对捕鱼收入的依赖都影响了船长出海的决定。这项研究提供了对社会经济,环境和技术捕捞因素的初步见解,这些因素会影响单个渔民对变化的暴风雨的敏感性。这些见解可以帮助为渔业气候脆弱性评估和适应措施的制定提供信息。

更新日期:2021-03-11
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