This paper evaluates one potential impact of California’s Proposition 14, which created a top-two primary system for all non-Presidential election races within the state. Our analysis is twofold, with the concern of each analysis placed on voter roll off when the result of the top-two primary placed a non-traditional pairing of candidates on the ballot.We focus on U.S. House races using data at the congressional district level to evaluate the impact of a non-traditional general election that omits one of the major parties from the ballot. Using major party registration of the political party omitted from the general election ballot, we find suggestive evidence that voter roll-off increases with these non-traditional contests. These elections do not effect voter turnout as a whole, but can increase voter roll-off by upwards of 7%.

本文评估了加利福尼亚州第14号提案的潜在影响，该提案为州内所有非总统选举产生了前两个主要制度。我们的分析是双重的，当前两名初选的结果在选票上采用非传统的候选人配对时，每项分析都会引起选民的关注。我们集中在美国众议院竞选中，使用的是国会选区一级的数据评估在投票中忽略了主要政党之一的非传统大选的影响。使用从大选投票中省略的政党的主要政党注册，我们发现了有启发性的证据，表明，随着这些非传统竞赛的进行，选民的投票率增加了。这些选举不会整体上影响选民投票率，但可以使选民投票率提高7％以上。