Planning for community resilience to disasters is a process that involves co‐ordinated action within and between relevant organizations and stakeholders, with the goal of reducing disaster risk. The effectiveness of this process is influenced by a range of factors, both positively and negatively, that need to be identified and understood so as to develop organizational capacity to build community resilience to disaster. This study investigates disaster planning and management in Oman, a country facing significant natural hazards, and with a relatively new system of institutional disaster management. Fuzzy cognitive mapping integrated with stakeholder analysis is used to identify relevant factors and their inter‐relationships, and hence provides an improved understanding of disaster governance. Developing an improved understanding of the complexity of this institutional behavior allows identification of opportunities to build greater resilience to disaster through improved planning and emergency response. We make recommendations for improved disaster management in Oman relating to governance (including improved plan dissemination and closer working with community organizations), risk assessment, public education, built environment development, and financing for disaster resilience.

中文翻译：

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影响阿曼抗灾能力的因素：利益相关者分析与模糊认知映射相结合

规划社区的抗灾能力是一个过程，涉及在相关组织与利益相关方之间以及内部与利益相关方之间采取协调一致的行动，目的是降低灾难风险。该过程的有效性受到正面和负面因素的影响，这些因素需要被识别和理解，以便发展组织能力以建立社区的抗灾能力。这项研究调查了阿曼（Aman）的灾难规划和管理，该国面临着严重的自然灾害，并且拥有相对较新的机构灾难管理系统。与利益相关者分析相结合的模糊认知映射可用于识别相关因素及其相互关系，从而可以更好地理解灾害治理。对这种制度行为的复杂性有了更深入的了解，可以通过改进计划和应急响应来确定机会，以增强对灾害的抵御能力。我们就治理（包括改进计划的传播和与社区组织的紧密合作），风险评估，公众教育，建筑环境发展以及为抗灾能力筹集资金等方面，提出有关改善阿曼灾难管理的建议。