Studies of voting behaviour in Croatia established the existence of deep divisions within the electorate over symbolic and identity issues. These divisions based on attitudes toward religion, tradition, and history, shaped the patterns of electoral behaviour after gaining independence and finally led to the consolidation of a bipolar pattern of political competition. However, in the elections held in 2015 and 2016 new political actors emerged with messages that cannot be placed within the traditional pattern of political divisions. Using electoral surveys fielded immediately after the 2015 and 2016 elections, this paper analyses whether electoral support for new political actors in these elections is a result of voters, especially younger voters, moving away from the traditional structure of political cleavages, and their mobilisation by other political issues. Analysis shows that support for new parties is largely due to sizable segments of voters moving away from traditional cleavages, and to a lesser extent, their mobilisation on new political issues.

中文翻译：

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2015年和2016年的议会选举是否改变了克罗地亚的政治风向？

对克罗地亚投票行为的研究确定了选民在象征和身份问题上存在深层分歧。这些基于对宗教，传统和历史的态度的分歧，在获得独立后塑造了选举行为的模式，并最终导致了两极分化的政治竞争模式的巩固。但是，在2015年和2016年举行的选举中，出现了新的政治角色，传达的信息无法置于传统的政治分裂模式之内。本文使用2015年和2016年选举后立即进行的选举调查，分析了选举对新政治角色的选举支持是否是选民，尤其是年轻选民摆脱传统政治分裂结构的结果，以及其他政治问题的动员。分析表明，对新政党的支持很大程度上是由于相当大比例的选民摆脱了传统的分裂，在较小程度上是他们动员了新的政治问题。