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Does younger age at marriage affect divorce? Evidence from Johnson's Executive Order 11241
Economic Inquiry ( IF 1.710 ) Pub Date : 2021-02-24 , DOI: 10.1111/ecin.12965
Martha J Bailey 1 , Emily A Beam 2 , Anna Wentz 3
Affiliation  

Before President Johnson's Executive Order 11241 in August 1965, married men received lower draft priority for military service. As the Vietnam War escalated in the summer of 1965, anecdotal evidence suggests draft-eligible men sought marriage to lower their likelihood of serving. This paper quantifies the effects of these Vietnam-era policies on marriage and finds that they significantly reduced the age at first marriage and altered the choice of spouse. However, younger marriages induced by the war were less likely to result in divorce 15 years later. Evidence also suggests that these younger marriages had little effect on long-term outcomes.

中文翻译:

结婚年龄小会影响离婚吗?约翰逊 11241 号行政命令的证据

在约翰逊总统于 1965 年 8 月发布第 11241 号行政命令之前,已婚男性获得的兵役优先级较低。随着越南战争在 1965 年夏天升级,轶事证据表明符合征兵资格的男性寻求婚姻以降低他们服役的可能性。本文量化了这些越南时代政策对婚姻的影响,发现它们显着降低了初婚年龄并改变了配偶的选择。然而,战争引发的年轻婚姻不太可能导致 15 年后离婚。证据还表明,这些年轻的婚姻对长期结果几乎没有影响。
更新日期:2021-02-24
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