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Backward bifurcation in within-host HIV models
Mathematical Biosciences ( IF 4.3 ) Pub Date : 2021-02-24 , DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2021.108569
Xinqi Xie 1 , Junling Ma 1 , P van den Driessche 1
Affiliation  

The activation and proliferation of naive CD4 T cells produce helper T cells, and increase the susceptible population in the presence of HIV. This may cause backward bifurcation. To verify this, we construct a simple within-host HIV model that includes the key variables, namely healthy naive CD4 T cells, helper T cells, infected CD4 T cells and virus. When the viral basic reproduction number R0 is less than unity, we show theoretically and numerically that bistability for RC<R0<1 can be caused by a backward bifurcation due to a new susceptible population produced by activation of healthy naive CD4 T cells that become helper T cells. An extended model including the CTL dynamics may also show this backward bifurcation. In the case that the homeostatic source of healthy naive CD4 T cells is large, RC is approximately the threshold for HIV to persist independent of initial conditions. The backward bifurcation may still occur even when we consider latent infections of naive CD4 T cells. Thus to control the spread of within-host HIV, it may be necessary for treatment to reduce the reproduction number below RC.



中文翻译:

宿主内 HIV 模型的后向分叉

幼稚 CD4 T 细胞的激活和增殖产生辅助 T 细胞,并在 HIV 存在时增加易感人群。这可能会导致向后分叉。为了验证这一点,我们构建了一个简单的宿主内 HIV 模型,其中包括关键变量,即健康的幼稚 CD4 T 细胞、辅助 T 细胞、受感染的 CD4 T 细胞和病毒。当病毒基本繁殖数电阻0 小于统一,我们在理论上和数值上证明了双稳态 电阻C<电阻0<1可能是由于健康幼稚 CD4 T 细胞激活成为辅助 T 细胞而产生的新易感群体导致的向后分叉造成的。包括 CTL 动力学的扩展模型也可能显示这种向后分叉。在健康幼稚 CD4 T 细胞的稳态来源很大的情况下,电阻C大约是 HIV 独立于初始条件而持续存在的阈值。即使我们考虑到幼稚 CD4 T 细胞的潜在感染,后向分叉仍然可能发生。因此,为了控制宿主内 HIV 的传播,可能有必要进行治疗以减少以下繁殖数电阻C.

更新日期:2021-04-05
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