Philosophy Compass. 2018;e12523. https://doi.org/10.1111/phc3.12523 Abstract In this paper, I explore one of the most important but least discussed components of an evidentialist case for or against theism: its intrinsic plausibility and simplicity as a theory aside from the evidence. This is a crucial consideration in any inductive framework, whether Inference to the Best Explanation, probabilism, or another. In the context of Bayesian reasoning, this corresponds to an assessment of theism's intrinsic probability. I offer a survey of how philosophers of science have attempted to evaluate the intrinsic plausibility and simplicity of scientific theories more generally, before applying these considerations to the question of God's existence.

中文翻译：

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有神论的内在可能性

哲学指南针。2018年； e12523。https://doi.org/10.1111/phc3.12523摘要在本文中，我探讨了支持或反对有神论的证据主义案例中最重要但讨论最少的组成部分：除证据外，其固有的合理性和简单性。在任何归纳框架中，这都是至关重要的考虑因素，无论是对最佳解释的推论，概率论还是其他。在贝叶斯推理的背景下，这对应于对有神论的内在概率的评估。我对科学哲学家在将这些考虑因素应用到上帝的存在问题之前如何尝试更广泛地评估科学理论的内在合理性和简单性进行了一项调查。