Contemporary debates concerning warrant transmission take for granted this thesis: when warrant transmission fails the argument fails. I challenge this thesis. An argument with conclusion C, addressed to subject S, can be cogent in the sense that recognition that the premises entail (or make highly likely) C can rationally foster in S the belief in C, without the warrant for C necessarily being gained (or reinforced) by such recognition. A key idea is to accept that some arguments should be understood in a way that involves the abandonment of two characteristic idealizations imposed on rational thinkers by Bayesian modelling.

中文翻译：

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说服力、权证传递增加和非理想思想家

当代关于权证传递的争论认为这个论点是理所当然的：当权证传递失败时，论点就失败了。我挑战这个论文。一个针对主题 S 的带有结论 C 的论证可能是有说服力的，因为承认前提包含（或极有可能）C 可以在 S 中理性地培养对 C 的信念，而不必获得 C 的保证（或加强）通过这种认可。一个关键的想法是接受一些论点应该以一种涉及放弃贝叶斯建模强加给理性思考者的两种特征理想化的方式来理解。