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Mapping Religious Change in Latin America
Latin American Politics and Society ( IF 1.673 ) Pub Date : 2017-02-02 , DOI: 10.1111/laps.12013
Nicolás M. Somma , Matías A. Bargsted , Eduardo Valenzuela

Using Latinobarometer survey data, we study the evolution of religious identities among the adult populations of 17 Latin American countries between 1996 and 2013. We find several interesting patterns. First, the current religious landscape is highly dynamic and is becoming increasingly pluralist among a majority of countries. Changes derive not only from the growth of Evangelicals, as commonly assumed, but also from the sharp rise in irreligious individuals. Second, religious change cannot be convincingly explained by important theories such as secularization, religious economies, and anomie. However, the predictions derived from anomie theory seem more useful for understanding Evangelical growth. Finally, our cohort analysis indicates that aggregate religious change largely results from individual-level change across time—religious conversion and apostasy—rather than from generational replacement. Still, there are interesting variations across countries in that respect.

中文翻译:

绘制拉丁美洲的宗教变化图

使用拉丁晴雨表调查数据,我们研究了 1996 年至 2013 年间 17 个拉丁美洲国家成年人口中宗教身份的演变。我们发现了几个有趣的模式。首先,当前的宗教格局是高度动态的,并且在大多数国家中变得越来越多元化。变化不仅源于福音派的成长,正如人们普遍认为的那样,还源于非宗教人士的急剧增加。其次,宗教变迁无法用世俗化、宗教经济、失范等重要理论来令人信服地解释。然而,来自失范理论的预测似乎更有助于理解福音派的成长。最后,我们的队列分析表明,总体宗教变化主要是由于个人层面的跨时间变化——宗教皈依和叛教——而不是代际更替。尽管如此,在这方面,各国之间仍存在有趣的差异。
更新日期:2017-02-02
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