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Socio-hydrological agent-based modelling for analysing the impacts of supply enhancement strategies on the cap-and-trade scheme
Hydrological Sciences Journal ( IF 3.5 ) Pub Date : 2021-03-10 , DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2021.1888954
Vahid Aghaie 1 , Abbas Afshar 1 , Hosein Alizadeh 1
Affiliation  

ABSTRACT

An agent-based model (ABM) is developed to explore the socio-hydrological and economic impacts of a water transfer project, as a supply enhancement strategy, on the cap-and-trade scheme, as a demand-side management practice, in Rafsanjan Plain, Iran. The modelling scheme benefits from a distributed groundwater model coupled with a socio-economic ABM to explore the social and economic impacts of the proposed supply enhancement and demand management strategies. The main goal of the integrated model is to investigate how the supply enhancement strategies and the cap-and-trade policy can bring about more favourable hydrological, social, and economic results in the recipient basin. Findings indicate that integration of the supply augmentation and the cap-and-trade policy can facilitate the emergence of collective action in the farmer society. It is shown that the combination of these two policies, when implemented to mitigate water scarcity, reduces economic costs incurred on both farmers and the government and brings about more favourable socio-hydrological outcomes.



中文翻译:

基于社会水文学代理的模型,用于分析供应量增加策略对总量控制和交易计划的影响

摘要

建立了一种基于代理的模型(ABM),以研究拉夫桑詹的输水项目的社会水文和经济影响,以此作为增加供给的战略,对总量控制和交易计划,作为需求侧的管理实践。平原,伊朗。该建模方案得益于分布式地下水模型以及社会经济ABM,以探讨拟议的供给增强和需求管理策略对社会和经济的影响。集成模型的主要目标是研究增加供给策略和总量管制与贸易政策如何能够在受援盆地带来更有利的水文,社会和经济成果。研究结果表明,增加供给和总量管制与贸易政策的结合可以促进农民社会中集体行动的出现。

更新日期:2021-04-01
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