Most research on the relationship between economic conditions and fertility has shown that fertility has a procyclical relationship with economic growth. We examine this relationship by investigating the implications of the current economic crisis on fertility in Greece. Given the brief time period since the start of the economic crisis in Greece (a potential methodological limitation), we examine the evolution of fertility from 1960 to 2015, using empirical data provided by the Hellenic Statistical Authority and paying special attention to changes during the crisis years. Using these data, age-specific fertility rates by order of birth, total annual fertility rate, and mean age of mothers at childbearing differentiated by birth order are calculated. Our analysis shows that in the 2000s TFR increased as a result of the recuperation of births that were postponed during the late 1980s and the 1990s, and then TFR decreased, especially for first and second order TFR. We attribute the recent fall of TFR to the simultaneous fall of fertility rates of women younger than 30 years. It appears, therefore, that the crisis interrupted the recuperation of births that began in the early 2000s and halted fertility increases among younger ages. Recent changes in fertility are indicative of an accelerated decline of the complete fertility of women born after 1980, mainly because the recession was initiated during a time when the mean age of childbearing was very high (30 years for the first child). These facts do not allow for optimism concerning the reversal of fertility rates of younger generations who are probably going to spend a significant part of their reproductive life under crisis conditions.

中文翻译：

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希腊经期生育趋势及其在当前经济衰退期间的变化

大多数关于经济状况与生育率关系的研究表明，生育率与经济增长具有顺周期关系。我们通过调查当前经济危机对希腊生育率的影响来检验这种关系。鉴于希腊经济危机爆发以来的短暂时期（潜在的方法限制），我们使用希腊统计局提供的经验数据并特别关注危机期间的变化，研究了 1960 年至 2015 年生育率的演变年。使用这些数据，可以计算按出生顺序划分的年龄别生育率、年总生育率和按出生顺序区分的母亲平均生育年龄。我们的分析表明，由于 1980 年代后期和 1990 年代推迟生育的恢复，2000 年代 TFR 增加，然后 TFR 下降，尤其是一阶和二阶 TFR。我们将近期 TFR 的下降归因于 30 岁以下女性生育率的同时下降。因此，这场危机似乎打断了始于 2000 年代初的生育复苏，并阻止了年轻一代的生育率增长。最近生育率的变化表明 1980 年以后出生的妇女的完全生育率加速下降，这主要是因为经济衰退是在平均生育年龄非常高（第一个孩子为 30 岁）的时期开始的。