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Six-day footraces in the post-pedestrianism era
Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports Pub Date : 2019-06-26 , DOI: 10.1515/jqas-2018-0005
Greg Salvesen 1
Affiliation  

Abstract In a six-day footrace, competitors accumulate as much distance as possible on foot over 144 consecutive hours by circumambulating a loop course. Now an obscure event on the fringe of ultra running and contested by amateurs, six-day races and the associated sport of pedestrianism used to be a lucrative professional athletic endeavor. Indeed, pedestrianism was the most popular spectator sport in America c. 1874–c. 1881. We analyzed data from 277 six-day races spanning 37 years in the post-pedestrianism era (1981–2018). Men outnumber women 3:1 in six-day race participation. The men’s (women’s) six-day world record is 644.2 (549.1) miles and the top 4% achieve 500 (450) miles. Adopting the forecasting model of Godsey (2012), we predict a 53% (21%) probability that the men’s (women’s) world record will be broken within the next decade.

中文翻译:

后步行时代的六日赛跑

摘要在为期六天的比赛中,竞争对手通过绕行环行路线,在连续144小时内累积了尽可能多的步行距离。现在,在超级奔跑的边缘上一个不起眼的赛事受到业余爱好者,六天比赛以及与之相关的步行运动的争夺,这曾经是一项利润丰厚的职业运动。的确,步行运动是美国最受欢迎的观众运动c。1874年-c。1881年。我们分析了后步行时代(1981-2018)的277个六天比赛的数据,历时37年。在为期六天的比赛中,男性胜于女性3:1。男子(女子)连续六天的世界纪录是644.2(549.1)英里,而排名前4%的人则达到500(450)英里。采用戈德西(2012)的预测模型,我们预计在未来十年内,打破男子(女子)世界纪录的可能性为53%(21%)。
更新日期:2019-06-26
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