In this paper, we argue natural disasters have a positive association with the likelihood of internal or domestic trafficking. Trafficking is a function of individual vulnerability and subsequent criminal agency. Economic scarcity and lack of government protection are conditions of vulnerability that are exploited by criminal agents and networks in recruiting and transporting victims. The advent of natural disasters exacerbates these conditions and provides an opportunity for criminals. We argue that internal trafficking is more likely in the wake of disasters as routes to transnational trafficking may be inaccessible. Employing generalized estimation equations on a unique cross-section, time-series dataset of 158 countries, between 2001 and 2011, we find a consistent positive link between natural disasters and the likelihood of internal trafficking. The internal trafficking angle is under-studied, and our findings point at the need for further exploration of the topic.

中文翻译：

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完美风暴：灾害严重程度对国内人口贩卖的影响

在本文中，我们认为自然灾害与国内或国内贩运的可能性呈正相关。贩运是个人脆弱性和随后的犯罪机构的功能。经济匮乏和缺乏政府保护是犯罪人员和网络在招募和运送受害者时利用的脆弱条件。自然灾害的出现加剧了这些情况，并为犯罪分子提供了机会。我们认为，在灾难发生后，内部贩运更有可能发生，因为跨国贩运的路线可能无法进入。在 2001 年至 2011 年间对 158 个国家的独特横截面时间序列数据集采用广义估计方程，我们发现自然灾害与内部贩运的可能性之间始终存在积极联系。内部贩运角度尚未得到充分研究，我们的发现表明需要进一步探索该主题。