The aim of this article is to analyze three key issues in current Nicaraguan politics and in the political debate surrounding hybrid regimes: de-democratization, political protest, and the fall of presidencies. First, it analyzes the process of de-democratization that has been taking place in Nicaragua since 2000. It shows that the 2008 elections were not competitive but characteristic of an electoral authoritarian regime. Second, it reflects on the kind of regime created in Nicaragua under Daniel Ortega’s mandate, focusing on the system’s inability to process any kind of protest and dissent. Third, it examines the extent to which the protests that broke out in April 2018 may predict the early end to Ortega’s presidency, or whether Nicaragua’s political crisis may lead to negotiations between the government and the opposition.

中文翻译：

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尼加拉瓜：去民主化和政权危机

本文的目的是分析当前尼加拉瓜政治和围绕混合政权的政治辩论中的三个关键问题：去民主化、政治抗议和总统下台。首先，它分析了自 2000 年以来在尼加拉瓜发生的去民主化进程。它表明 2008 年的选举不是竞争性的，而是选举专制政权的特征。其次，它反映了在丹尼尔·奥尔特加（Daniel Ortega）的授权下在尼加拉瓜创建的那种政权，侧重于该系统无法处理任何形式的抗议和异议。第三，它考察了 2018 年 4 月爆发的抗议活动在多大程度上预示了奥尔特加总统任期的提前结束，或者尼加拉瓜的政治危机是否可能导致政府与反对派之间的谈判。