The U.S. Constitution was first developed at the 1787 Convention, where each state’s vote was determined by the majority preference of its delegates. Two of the delegates from New York, John Lansing and Robert Yates, both strident anti-Federalists, left the Convention early due to disagreement with the proceedings. Their departure cost New York its vote for the rest of the Convention, and has been considered by some scholars to be an important event. We investigate how often New York’s vote was critical to proposals passing or failing, both when present and counter-factually when absent. We find New York’s vote could have been critical on only 28 of 578 (roughly 5%) votes. Most of the 28 votes were on nominal issues. However, paradoxically, it appears that a more favorable outcome for Lansing and Yates might have occurred had New York also missed the very first vote of the Convention and the last vote on apportionment prior to “The Great Compromise”.

中文翻译：

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纽约在制宪会议上的（有问题的）重要性

美国宪法最初是在 1787 年的大会上制定的，每个州的投票由其代表的多数票决定。来自纽约的两名代表约翰·兰辛和罗伯特·耶茨都是尖锐的反联邦主义者，由于不同意议事程序而提前离开了大会。他们的离开使纽约失去了对公约其余部分的投票权，并且被一些学者认为是一个重要事件。我们调查了纽约的投票对提案通过或失败的关键程度，无论是在场还是在缺席时都与事实相反。我们发现纽约的投票可能只对 578 票（大约 5%）中的 28 票持批评态度。28 票中的大部分票是关于名义问题的。然而，矛盾的是，