Most countries operate procedures to safeguard children, including removal from parents in serious cases. In England, care applications and numbers have risen sharply, however, with wide variations not explained by levels of socio-economic deprivation alone. Drawing on extensive research, it is asserted that actuarial decision tools more accurately estimate risks to children and are needed to achieve consistency, transparency, and best outcomes for children. To date, however, child protection has not achieved gains made within comparable professions through statistical methods. The reasons are examined. To make progress requires understanding why statistical tools exert effect and how professionals use them in practice. Deep-rooted psychological factors operating within uncertainty can frustrate processes implemented to counter those forces. Crucially, tools constitute evidence; their use and interpretation should not fall to one practitioner or professional body and modifications must be open to scrutiny and adjudication. We explore the potential of novel big data technology to address the difficulties identified through tools that are accurate, simple, and universally applied within child protection. When embraced by all parties to proceedings, especially parents and their advisors, despite societal fears, big data may promote transparency of social work and judicial decisions.

中文翻译：

---

为拥有“大数据”的儿童制定更好的决策：算法能否促进公平，透明和父母的参与？

大多数国家制定了保护儿童的程序，包括在严重情况下将其从父母中驱逐出去。然而，在英格兰，护理的应用和人数急剧增加，其变化并不仅仅由社会经济匮乏的水平来解释。据称，通过广泛的研究，精算决策工具可以更准确地估计对儿童的风险，并且对于实现儿童的连贯性，透明度和最佳结果而言，精算决策工具是必需的。但是，迄今为止，儿童保护还没有通过统计方法在可比职业中取得进展。检查原因。要取得进步，需要了解为什么统计工具会发挥作用以及专业人员在实践中如何使用它们。在不确定性范围内运作的根深蒂固的心理因素可能会使为抵制这些力量而实施的程序感到沮丧。至关重要的是，工具构成了证据。对它们的使用和解释不应属于一个从业人员或专业机构，对修改的内容必须接受审查和裁决。我们探索新颖的大数据技术解决通过儿童保护中准确，简单且普遍使用的工具发现的困难的潜力。尽管受到社会的担忧，但当诉讼各方（尤其是父母及其顾问）接受时，大数据可能会提高社会工作和司法裁决的透明度。简单，普遍适用于儿童保护。尽管受到社会的担忧，但当诉讼各方（尤其是父母及其顾问）接受时，大数据可能会提高社会工作和司法裁决的透明度。简单，普遍适用于儿童保护。尽管受到社会的担忧，但当诉讼各方（尤其是父母及其顾问）接受时，大数据可能会促进社会工作和司法裁决的透明度。