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Following the price: identifying cocaine trafficking networks in Colombia
Global Crime Pub Date : 2019-03-27 , DOI: 10.1080/17440572.2019.1588116
Galia J. Benítez 1 , Siddharth Chandra 2 , Teniente Coronel Liz Wendy Cuadros Veloza 3 , Intendente José Darío Díaz Cárdenas 3
Affiliation  

ABSTRACT International cocaine trafficking has been well-studied, but little is known about cocaine flows within Colombia, the largest producer and exporter of cocaine in the world. Using a unique dataset on the monthly wholesale prices of cocaine across 32 municipios in 2016, this paper estimates patterns of flows of cocaine within Colombia. For the 496 possible resulting pairs of municipios, price differentials are used to infer direction of flow, and price correlations are used to infer connectedness. Among the new findings, 38 suspected municipio-to-municipio flows that are new to the literature are identified. Interestingly, cocaine is inferred to flow through two distinct networks: one that originates in Buenaventura and the other in three points in southern and eastern Colombia. These networks may correspond to distinct criminal trafficking systems, a finding that has potential implications for drug control policies and measures.

中文翻译:

遵循价格:确定哥伦比亚的可卡因贩运网络

摘要国际对可卡因的贩运已经进行了充分的研究,但对可卡因在世界上最大的生产和出口国哥伦比亚境内的流动了解甚少。使用2016年32个市镇可卡因每月批发价格的独特数据集,本文估算了哥伦比亚境内可卡因的流动模式。对于496个可能产生的市政对,使用价格差异来推断流动方向,使用价格相关性来推断连通性。在新发现中,发现了38篇文献中新发现的可疑的市政间流。有趣的是,推断可卡因流经两个不同的网络:一个起源于布埃纳文图拉,另一个起源于哥伦比亚南部和东部的三个地点。
更新日期:2019-03-27
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