ABSTRACT The policy measure G8 was supposed to bring German school leavers into university earlier. The aim of this paper is to evaluate the effect of G8 on the transition from school into university using a difference-in-differences set-up within panel estimation with fixed effects. In comparison to a number of other studies in this paper, the complete time period of the G8 implementation (2006–2017) was considered, other macrofactors affecting the transition process were controlled for, and a full population survey encompassing realised enrolment rates was used. The main finding was that the G8 reform affected the enrolment rate for an immediate transition negatively but all other subsequent transition rates with higher time gaps positively. The university enrolment was hence postponed by at least one year due to G8.

中文翻译：

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缩短上学时间对从学校过渡到学业的影响-来自自然实验的经验证据

摘要八国集团（G8）的政策措施原本打算使德国的离校生更早进入大学。本文的目的是使用固定影响的小组评估中的差异设置来评估八国集团对从学校到大学过渡的影响。与本文中的其他多项研究相比，八国集团实施的整个时间段（2006-2017年）得到了考虑，控制了影响过渡过程的其他宏观因素，并使用了包含实际入学率的全面人口调查。主要发现是，八国集团（G8）改革对立即过渡的入学率产生了负面影响，但对所有其他随后的过渡率却产生了较大的时间间隔带来负面影响。因此，由于八国集团的原因，大学入学至少推迟了一年。