ABSTRACT

This article aims to examine the extent of the COVID-19 on the tourism industry in ASEAN countries. This study utilized a Panel Vector Autoregression approach to examine the possible bi-directional causality that exists between COVID-19 and tourist arrivals. Data from seven ASEAN nations were used wherein accumulated numbers of cases are hypothesized due to variations in the levels of inbound tourism and other socio-economic differences. The findings indicated two-way causality between COVID-19 and tourist arrivals at the 95% significance level. The results revealed that international tourism can seriously be affected by the COVID-19 outbreak.

摘要

本文旨在研究 COVID-19 对东盟国家旅游业的影响。本研究使用面板向量自回归方法来检查 COVID-19 和游客到达之间可能存在的双向因果关系。使用了来自七个东盟国家的数据，其中由于入境旅游水平的变化和其他社会经济差异而假设累积病例数。研究结果表明，COVID-19 与游客人数之间存在双向因果关系，显着性水平为 95%。结果表明，国际旅游业可能会受到 COVID-19 爆发的严重影响。