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An empirical investigation of tourism-led growth hypothesis in the european countries: evidence from augmented mean group estimator
Portuguese Economic Journal ( IF 1.342 ) Pub Date : 2021-02-10 , DOI: 10.1007/s10258-021-00193-9
Wanjun Xia , Buhari Doğan , Umer Shahzad , Festus Fatai Adedoyin , Abiodun Popoola , Muhammad Adnan Bashir

Due to urbanization and the need for people to go from one country to another either for commercial purpose or tourism, it is therefore important to determine the extent to which tourism contributes to growth. This article aims to investigate the tourism-led growth hypothesis in a sample of 34 European countries utilizing the yearly data from 1995 to 2015. The research work makes use of 8 tourism indicators, which cover different dimensions of tourism sector development such as foreign visitors' spending, and international tourist arrival. For empirical analysis, the study accounts key determinants of growth such as capital, labor and energy (renewable and non-renewable) consumption. The results from common correlated effects (CCE) augmented mean group (AMG) and groped-mean estimators confirms that there is a positive relationship between tourism, labour, capital and GDP insinuating the presence of tourism-led growth hypothesis in the European countries. Also, findings from the FMOLS show that changes in the variables leads to a proportional change in GDP. Specifically, the evidence shows that the tourism indicators play an indispensable role in promoting economic development, along with energy consumption, capital, and labor. Sustainable Combating environmental issues associated with foreign arrivals, renewable energy consumption should be encouraged to reduce environmental externalities to ensure sustainable environments for businesses and tourists’ arrivals.



中文翻译:

对欧洲国家旅游主导的增长假说的实证研究:来自扩充均值群体估计量的证据

由于城市化以及人们出于商业目的或旅游目的而从一个国家前往另一个国家的需求,因此,重要的是确定旅游业对增长的贡献程度。本文旨在利用1995年至2015年的年度数据,在34个欧洲国家的样本中调查旅游业带动的增长假说。研究工作利用8个旅游业指标,涵盖了旅游业发展的不同方面,例如外国游客的支出和国际游客的到来。为了进行实证分析,该研究考虑了增长的关键决定因素,例如资本,劳动力和能源(可再生和不可再生)消费。共同相关效应(CCE)增强均值组(AMG)和均值估算器的结果证实,旅游,劳动力,资本与GDP之间存在正相关关系,这说明欧洲国家存在以旅游为主导的增长假设。而且,来自FMOLS的调查结果表明,变量的变化导致GDP的比例变化。具体而言,证据表明,旅游业指标与能源消耗,资本和劳动力一起在促进经济发展中起着不可或缺的作用。可持续性应对与外国人入境相关的环境问题,应鼓励消耗可再生能源,以减少环境外部性,以确保企业和游客入境的可持续环境。资本和GDP暗示了欧洲国家旅游业主导的增长假说的存在。而且,来自FMOLS的调查结果表明,变量的变化导致GDP的比例变化。具体而言,证据表明,旅游业指标与能源消耗,资本和劳动力一起在促进经济发展中起着不可或缺的作用。可持续性应对与外国人入境相关的环境问题,应鼓励消耗可再生能源,以减少环境外部性,以确保企业和游客入境的可持续环境。资本和GDP暗示了欧洲国家旅游主导的增长假说的存在。而且,来自FMOLS的调查结果表明,变量的变化导致GDP的比例变化。具体而言,证据表明,旅游业指标与能源消耗,资本和劳动力一起在促进经济发展中起着不可或缺的作用。可持续性应对与外国人入境相关的环境问题,应鼓励消耗可再生能源,以减少环境外部性,以确保企业和游客入境的可持续环境。证据表明,旅游业指标与能源消耗,资本和劳动力一起在促进经济发展中起着不可或缺的作用。可持续性应对与外国人入境相关的环境问题,应鼓励消耗可再生能源,以减少环境外部性,以确保企业和游客入境的可持续环境。证据表明,旅游业指标与能源消耗,资本和劳动力一起在促进经济发展中起着不可或缺的作用。可持续性应对与外国人入境相关的环境问题,应鼓励消耗可再生能源,以减少环境外部性,以确保企业和游客入境的可持续环境。

更新日期:2021-02-10
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