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The determinants of voting for Islamists in Egypt’s first post-revolution elections 2011–2012
Middle East Development Journal Pub Date : 2017-07-03 , DOI: 10.1080/17938120.2017.1369787
May Attallah 1
Affiliation  

This paper studies empirically the voting outcomes for the first post-revolution presidential elections in Egypt. In the light of strong success of the Islamist candidate, Mohamed Morsi, I identify three dimensions which can affect voting outcomes: human capital stock, wealth and employment structure. I find that less educated, poorer and more unequal districts support more Islamists. I also find an effect of the employment structure of a district on voting. I test the results by comparing the determinants of voting outcomes of the presidential elections to those of the 2011 and 2012 constitutional referendums.

中文翻译:

在2011-2012年埃及首次革命后选举中为伊斯兰主义者投票的决定因素

本文从经验上研究了埃及第一次革命后总统选举的投票结果。鉴于伊斯兰候选人穆罕默德·莫西(Mohamed Morsi)的巨大成功,我确定了可能影响投票结果的三个方面:人力资本存量,财富和就业结构。我发现,受教育程度较低,贫穷和不平等的地区支持更多的伊斯兰主义者。我还发现一个地区的就业结构对投票产生了影响。我通过比较总统选举与2011年和2012年宪法公投的投票结果的决定因素来测试结果。
更新日期:2017-07-03
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