ABSTRACT

This research reports the effects of Coronavirus COVID-19 outbreak on expected tourism revenues for preservation in the Galapagos Islands, a well-known international tourism destination. We explore the trends and construct a seasonal index to estimate the expected number of visitors in the Galapagos National Park (GNP) as well as the potential revenue from the fee entrance in the park, which is used for preservation activities. Our results indicate that in our optimistic scenario, losses would account for half of the revenues in 2020,having a high impact on the Galapagos National Park preservation activities. Based on our results, we recommend GNP and Ecuadorian authorities to look for alternative sources of funding, so conservation programs in the park can continue with no interruption.

摘要

这项研究报告了冠状病毒 COVID-19 爆发对加拉帕戈斯群岛（一个著名的国际旅游目的地）的预期旅游收入的影响。我们探索了趋势并构建了一个季节性指数，以估计加拉帕戈斯国家公园 (GNP) 的预期游客人数以及公园内用于保护活动的收费入口的潜在收入。我们的结果表明，在我们乐观的情况下，损失将占 2020 年收入的一半，对加拉帕戈斯国家公园的保护活动有很大影响。根据我们的结果，我们建议 GNP 和厄瓜多尔当局寻找替代资金来源，以便公园的保护计划可以不间断地继续进行。