ABSTRACT The Quebec provincial election of October 2018 marked the end of an era. It saw the Quebec Liberal Party (QLP) suffer the worst defeat of its history and the election of agovernment, the first in a half century, not headed by either the Liberals or the Parti Québécois. The election of the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) suggests a political realignment. Yet, whether or not the 2018 vote also ended the era of budget austerity remains uncertain. Combined with a modest growth in program spending, public-sector reforms and cutbacks might, under the new administration, affect public services and once again generate opposition and resistance to budget austerity. In this article, we address this question of change versus continuity in three steps. First, we provide a retrospective account of budget policies under recent Liberal governments in Québec. Second, we present and discuss the CAQ’s evolving views on public budgeting and economic policy. Finally, we analyze the new government’s actions in its first year in office. While it is hard to discern a clean break in budgetary policies, the CAQ government might surprise us yet: it has a leader largely unconstrained by his party and whose ideas about budgeting and the public sector depart from neoliberal mantras. In addition, he has nationalist policy ideas, particularly around economic development, that might spur significant departures if they are aggressively implemented

中文翻译：

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“井然有序”应该怎么做？后自由主义魁北克的经济视角

摘要 2018 年 10 月的魁北克省选举标志着一个时代的结束。它见证了魁北克自由党 (QLP) 遭受其历史和政府选举中最严重的失败，这是半个世纪以来的第一次，既没有自由党也没有魁北克党领导。Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) 的选举表明了政治重组。然而，2018 年的投票是否也结束了预算紧缩时代仍不确定。加上计划支出的温和增长，新政府领导下的公共部门改革和削减可能会影响公共服务，并再次引起对预算紧缩的反对和抵制。在本文中，我们分三个步骤解决变化与连续性的问题。第一的，我们提供了魁北克近期自由党政府预算政策的回顾性说明。其次，我们介绍并讨论 CAQ 对公共预算和经济政策的不断演变的看法。最后，我们分析新政府上任第一年的行动。虽然很难看出预算政策是否有彻底的突破，但 CAQ 政府可能会让我们大吃一惊：它的领导人在很大程度上不受其政党的约束，其关于预算和公共部门的想法与新自由主义的口头禅背道而驰。此外，他还有民族主义政策理念，尤其是围绕经济发展的理念，如果积极实施这些理念，可能会引发重大变革。虽然很难看出预算政策是否有彻底的突破，但 CAQ 政府可能会让我们大吃一惊：它的领导人在很大程度上不受其政党的约束，其关于预算和公共部门的想法与新自由主义的口头禅背道而驰。此外，他还有民族主义政策理念，尤其是围绕经济发展的理念，如果积极实施这些理念，可能会引发重大变革。虽然很难看出预算政策是否有彻底的突破，但 CAQ 政府可能会让我们大吃一惊：它的领导人在很大程度上不受其政党的约束，其关于预算和公共部门的想法与新自由主义的口头禅背道而驰。此外，他还有民族主义政策理念，尤其是围绕经济发展的理念，如果积极实施这些理念，可能会引发重大变革。