The main purpose of this work is the development of a performance prediction model of projects, considering the influence of the leadership style and organizational factors on the agility and flexibility of the organization. The motivation of this work is the absence in the literature of a model to establish the relationship among leadership and agility factors, by means of the integration of prediction and sensitivity analysis capacities. The originality of this work lies on the presentation of a general model integrating both capacities, dedicated to the analysis of different kind of projects. The first part of the study deals with a literature review regarding the components of leadership, organizational structure, agility, flexibility and organizational factors and the intrinsic relationship among them. This information is the basis of the framework of this study that serves for the construction of the model. Artificial intelligence (AI) techniques and statistical tools are used for modeling purposes. From the model application, it is possible to identify under which conditions of leadership style and organizational factors there are the highest chances of high project performances. The main results are the characterization of agility and flexibility demands for each type of project, the understanding of how leadership affects agility and flexibility, and the impacts on the project performance.

中文翻译：

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将敏捷性和灵活性需求与项目类型相关联的项目绩效预测模型

这项工作的主要目的是开发项目绩效预测模型，其中要考虑领导风格和组织因素对组织敏捷性和灵活性的影响。这项工作的动机是在文献中缺少通过整合预测和敏感性分析能力来建立领导力与敏捷性因素之间关系的模型。这项工作的独创性在于提出了一种综合了两种能力的通用模型，该模型专门用于分析不同类型的项目。该研究的第一部分涉及有关领导力，组织结构，敏捷性，灵活性和组织因素以及它们之间的内在联系的文献综述。该信息是本研究框架的基础，该框架可用于模型的构建。人工智能（AI）技术和统计工具用于建模目的。从模型应用程序中，可以确定在哪种领导风格和组织因素条件下，最高的项目绩效机会最高。主要结果是表征每种类型的项目的敏捷性和灵活性需求，了解领导力如何影响敏捷性和灵活性以及对项目绩效的影响。可以确定在哪种领导风格和组织因素条件下，最高的项目绩效机会最高。主要结果是表征每种类型的项目的敏捷性和灵活性需求，了解领导力如何影响敏捷性和灵活性以及对项目绩效的影响。可以确定在哪种领导风格和组织因素条件下，最高的项目绩效机会最高。主要结果是表征每种类型的项目的敏捷性和灵活性需求，了解领导力如何影响敏捷性和灵活性以及对项目绩效的影响。