Purpose

This study aims to investigate the predictive technology acceptance models and their evolution in the tourism context. These predictive models make a knowledgeable decision about the possibility of future outcomes by analysing data. As futurists are interested in making a prediction about the likelihood of different behaviours over time, researchers of these predictive models have focussed on behaviour and predicting the intentions of users. This study proposes to demonstrate the revolution of these models and how are changed overtime. It also indicates the role of them in future studies.

Design/methodology/approach

By reviewing the predictive models and literature, this study looks in-depth in the process of alteration of these models.

Findings

This study explores the reasons of the evolution of predictive models and how they are changed. It shed light on the role of predictive models in future research and will suggest new directions for forthcoming studies.

Research limitations/implications

One of the main limitations of this study is that as the world is currently struggling with COVID-19 and predictability of these models will be changed. As the future is disruptive, it cannot be concluded that how these models will be altered in future.

Practical implications

Role of predictive behavioural models of tourists is fundamentally crucial in assessing the performance of planners and marketers of tourism services in the future. It will also vastly helps the successful development of tourism sectors, and it has practical value for all tourism stakeholders.

Originality/value

Few studies have focussed on the evaluation of these models and their role in future research.

中文翻译：

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预测模型和旅游业的演变

目的

本研究旨在调查预测技术接受模型及其在旅游环境中的演变。这些预测模型通过分析数据对未来结果的可能性做出明智的决定。由于未来学家对随时间预测不同行为的可能性感兴趣，因此这些预测模型的研究人员专注于行为和预测用户的意图。本研究旨在展示这些模型的革命以及如何随着时间的推移而改变。它还表明它们在未来研究中的作用。

设计/方法/方法

本研究通过回顾预测模型和文献，深入了解这些模型的变化过程。

发现

本研究探讨了预测模型演变的原因及其变化方式。它阐明了预测模型在未来研究中的作用，并将为即将进行的研究提出新的方向。

研究限制/影响

这项研究的主要局限性之一是，由于世界目前正在与 COVID-19 作斗争，这些模型的可预测性将发生变化。由于未来是颠覆性的，因此无法断定这些模型将来会如何改变。

实际影响

游客预测行为模型的作用对于评估未来旅游服务规划者和营销者的表现至关重要。它还将极大地帮助旅游业的成功发展，对所有旅游利益相关者都具有实用价值。

原创性/价值

很少有研究关注这些模型的评估及其在未来研究中的作用。