The majority of studies into the economic effects of high-skilled migration focus on aggregate impact on the economic output in the countries of destination. The economic impact of migration of the highly qualified on the economies of the countries of their origin has been examined less. This qualitative research aims to address that gap by identifying the economic effects of high-skilled migration on Central and Eastern Europe, the region which faces many long-term challenges to its economic development. We use the available data from the UK International Passenger Survey for the 2004-2016 period to test whether the outflow of highly qualified workers from the EU8 countries to the UK is detrimental or beneficial for the growth of sending economies in the short and long term. In order to test these hypotheses, econometric time series analysis methods of structural vector autoregression and cointegration were applied. Our results have shown a positive short-term effect of brain outflow on regions’ GDP and wage growth as well as unemployment; on the other hand, we presented empirical evidence in support of the hypothesis of the negative long-term effect of high-skilled migration on EU8 countries’ GDP and wage growth as well as unemployment. These results are fairly robust to imply that a negative view on high-skilled migration from EU8 is broadly consistent with the previous findings of “harmful brain drain” scholars.

中文翻译：

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高技能移民到英国对来源国（EU8）经济的影响

关于高技能移民的经济影响的大多数研究都集中在目的地国对经济产出的总体影响上。对高素质移民对原籍国经济的经济影响的研究较少。这项定性研究旨在通过确定高技能移民对中欧和东欧的经济影响来解决这一差距，中欧和东欧对该地区的经济发展面临许多长期挑战。我们使用英国国际旅客调查（2004-2016年）的可用数据来测试从EU8国家流向英国的高素质工人是短期还是长期不利于或有利于经济增长的经济体。为了检验这些假设，应用结构向量自回归和协整的计量经济学时间序列分析方法。我们的结果表明，人才外流对地区的GDP，工资增长以及失业产生了积极的短期影响。另一方面，我们提出了经验证据，以支持高技能移民对欧盟八国GDP，工资增长以及失业的负面长期影响这一假设。这些结果相当有力，暗示对EU8高技能移民的否定观点与“有害人才流失”学者先前的发现大体一致。我们提供了经验证据，以支持高技能移民对EU8国家GDP，工资增长以及失业的负面长期影响这一假设。这些结果相当有力，暗示对EU8高技能移民的否定观点与“有害人才流失”学者先前的发现大体一致。我们提供了经验证据，以支持高技能移民对EU8国家GDP，工资增长以及失业的负面长期影响这一假设。这些结果相当有力，暗示对EU8高技能移民的否定观点与“有害人才流失”学者先前的发现大体一致。