ABSTRACT On the way to a new world order we do not yet know, disorder is the new normal. The world is in a state of flux. Six features are particularly noteworthy. (1) Sovereign states are reemphasized and reconfirmed as the basic building blocks of international affairs. (2) Trade and technology wars and economic sanctions have moved to the top of the international agenda. (3) International norms, institutions, and agreements are falling apart. (4) Geopolitically, the tense relationship between the United States and China is increasingly dominant. (5) New technologies nurture new forms of influence and capacities for violence. (6) Inherent in all of this, international affairs have become more unpredictable. Such a world does not leave many options for cooperative action. In the military field, states have returned to unilateral security policies as primitive as those of the Cold War. There is one overriding common concern, however: to avoid nuclear war. To this end, stability measures – the primary objective of arms control – are of the essence. The need for a global framework for responsible nuclear conduct, arms control, and disarmament, realistic enough to gain traction while capturing the aspiration of a world free of nuclear dangers, is at least as strong as 60 years ago, when arms control was first introduced.

中文翻译：

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军备控制与世界秩序

摘要在通往新世界秩序的道路上，我们尚不知道，无序是新常态。世界处于不断变化的状态。六个功能特别值得注意。（1）重新强调和确认主权国家是国际事务的基本基础。（2）贸易和技术战争以及经济制裁已移至国际议程的首位。（3）国际规范，制度和协议正在瓦解。（4）在地缘政治上，中美之间的紧张关系日益占主导地位。（5）新技术培育新形式的影响力和暴力能力。（6）所有这一切固有的国际事务变得更加不可预测。这样的世界并没有太多采取合作行动的选择。在军事领域 各州已经恢复了单方面的安全政策，就像冷战时期一样原始。但是，有一个压倒一切的共同关切：避免核战争。为此，至关重要的是稳定措施是军备控制的主要目标。建立负责任的核行为，军备控制和裁军的全球框架的需求，至少要与60年前首次引入军备控制时一样强大，这一框架要既现实可行，又能在吸引无核危险世界的渴望的同时获得牵引力。