当前位置: X-MOL 学术Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. › 论文详情
Our official English website, www.x-mol.net, welcomes your feedback! (Note: you will need to create a separate account there.)
Generalizing the Inversion‐Based PSHA Source Model for an Interconnected Fault System
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America ( IF 3 ) Pub Date : 2021-02-01 , DOI: 10.1785/0120200219
Edward H. Field 1 , Kevin R. Milner 2 , Morgan T. Page 3
Affiliation  

This article represents a step toward generalizing and simplifying the procedure for constructing an inversion‐based seismic hazard source model for an interconnected fault system, including the specification of adjustable segmentation constraints. A very simple example is used to maximize understandability and to counter the notion that an inversion approach is only applicable when an abundance of data is available. Also exemplified is how to construct a range of models to adequately represent epistemic uncertainties (which should be a high priority in any hazard assessment). Opportunity is also taken to address common concerns and misunderstandings associated with the third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, including the seemingly disproportionate number of large‐magnitude events, and how well hazard is resolved given the overall problem is very underdetermined. However, the main aim of this article is to provide a general protocol for constructing such models.

中文翻译:

互连故障系统中基于反转的PSHA源模型的一般化

本文代表了迈向概括和简化为互连断层系统构建基于反演的地震危险源模型的步骤,其中包括可调节分段约束的规范。一个非常简单的示例用于最大程度地提高可理解性,并反驳了仅当有大量数据可用时才适用反演方法的观点。还举例说明了如何构建一系列模型以充分代表认知不确定性(在任何危害评估中应将其作为优先事项)。还利用机会来解决与第三次加利福尼亚统一地震破裂预报有关的普遍关注和误解,包括看似数量不成比例的大震级事件,并考虑到整个问题的不确定性如何解决危害。但是,本文的主要目的是提供一种构建此类模型的通用协议。
更新日期:2021-01-31
down
wechat
bug