Abstract

Methods and results of the numerical forecast of glaze phenomena in Central Russia for cold periods of 2003–2018 are presented. Effectiveness of glaze forecasting is compared by two methods: (i) analysis of hydrometeor types and air temperature near the Earth’s surface from the WRF-ARW model and (ii) using the thermobalance model with WRF-ARW model forecasts as initial data. Some advantages of glaze forecasts using the thermobalance model are demonstrated.

中文翻译：

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预测釉现象的数值实验

摘要

给出了俄罗斯中部2003-2018年寒冷时期釉现象数值预测的方法和结果。通过两种方法对釉料预测的有效性进行了比较：（i）根据WRF-ARW模型分析水凝物类型和地球表面附近的气温，以及（ii）使用带有WRF-ARW模型预测的热天平模型作为初始数据。展示了使用热天平模型预测釉料的一些优势。