Opencast coal mining can result in a large-scale land destruction. Due to the diversity of land use and the complexity of land use structure, there are severe conflicts in the production-living-ecology space in large-scale opencast coal mine areas, resulting in various degrees of impacts on land use, human settlements and ecological stability of the mining area. However, relevant research on land use conflicts considering production-living-ecology space in large-scale opencast coal mine area is insufficient, especially in terms of predicting these conflicts. In this study, based on the concept of production-living-ecology space, the CLUE-S model and Markov model were used to measure the current level of land use conflict in Pingshuo opencast coal mining area in Shanxi Province of China. Moreover, land use conditions were simulated in Pingshuo mining area, and the potential land use conflicts in the future were predicted. Based on the prediction in the natural development mode of land use conflict in Pingshuo mining area in 2025, the causes and mitigation measures of land use conflicts were discussed. The level of land use conflict was mild out of control in 2015, most of the values were still within the controllable range. The level of land use conflicts would increase significantly from 2015 to 2025. In the mild out-of-control zone, the dominant land use type would be transformed from ecological production space, living space and industrial production space in 2015 to ecological space in 2025. In the severe out of control zone, conflicts in living space would have a significant increase. In order to mitigate land use conflict, optimization of “production-living-ecology” space planning, village relocation and rural revitalization, and land reclamation measures were proposed. This research has important theoretical and practical significance for enriching the relevant theories of land use conflicts and improving the efficiency of land management in mining areas.

露天煤矿开采可能导致大规模土地破坏。由于土地利用的多样性和土地利用结构的复杂性，大型露天煤矿区的生产生活生态空间存在严重冲突，对土地利用，人类住区和生态环境产生了不同程度的影响。矿区的稳定性。但是，考虑到大型露天煤矿地区生产生活生态空间的土地利用冲突的相关研究不足，特别是在预测这些冲突方面。本研究基于生产生活生态空间的概念，采用CLUE-S模型和马尔可夫模型对山西平朔露天煤矿区土地利用冲突现状进行了测度。此外，模拟了平朔矿区的土地利用状况，并预测了未来的潜在土地利用冲突。在对2025年平朔矿区土地利用冲突的自然发展方式进行预测的基础上，探讨了土地利用冲突的成因及缓解措施。2015年，土地使用冲突的程度轻微失控，大多数价值仍在可控范围内。从2015年到2025年，土地利用冲突的水平将显着增加。在温和失控地区，主要土地利用类型将从2015年的生态生产空间，居住空间和工业生产空间转变为2025年的生态空间在严重的失控地区，生活空间的冲突将大大增加。为了减轻土地使用冲突，提出了“生产－生活－生态”空间规划的优化，村庄搬迁和农村振兴以及土地开垦措施。该研究对于丰富有关土地利用冲突的相关理论，提高矿区土地管理效率具有重要的理论和实践意义。