Forsyth County, NC, is the third lowest ranked county in the United States for upward economic mobility. Urban scholars argue that sprawling development is an obstacle. This paper includes a focused analysis of the census tracts in Forsyth County. Using a spatial autoregressive model, we find some evidence that less sprawling tracts have higher rates of upward mobility. We find that tracts with more bus stops and less brownfields have higher rates of upward mobility. Though there are data limitations, findings still offer insights for policies and programs that may help in reversing the county’s low mobility rates.

中文翻译：

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北卡罗来纳州福塞斯县城市形态与经济流动性之间的关系

北卡罗来纳州福塞斯县是美国经济增长排名第三低的县。城市学者认为，庞大的发展是一个障碍。本文包括对福赛思县人口普查区域的重点分析。使用空间自回归模型，我们发现一些证据表明，较少散布的区域具有较高的向上移动率。我们发现，公交车站较多且棕地较少的区域的上移率较高。尽管存在数据局限性，但调查结果仍然为政策和计划提供了见识，可以帮助扭转该县的低流动率。