Ensuring sustainable electricity supply is a key issue facing decision-makers. Due to its impact on system reliability, balancing supply and demand is essential. Electricity subsidy policies in many countries have led to high consumption and low power plant efficiency, and may cause an imbalance in the future. This research analyzes different electricity subsystems using system dynamics to investigate how and when low energy prices lead to an unstable situation. Simulation results using Iran's data show demand surpasses supply with a continuation of current trends. However, when the prices increase 90%, demand is met, and subsidy decreases by about 20%.

确保可持续的电力供应是决策者面临的关键问题。由于其对系统可靠性的影响，平衡供需至关重要。许多国家的电力补贴政策已导致高消耗和低发电厂效率，并可能导致未来的不平衡。这项研究使用系统动力学分析了不同的电力子系统，以调查低能源价格如何以及何时导致不稳定情况。使用伊朗的数据进行的模拟结果表明，随着当前趋势的延续，需求超过了供应。但是，当价格上涨90％时，需求得到满足，补贴减少了约20％。