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Limits of engagement? The sunshine policy, nuclear tests, and South Korean views of North Korea 1995–2013
International Relations of the Asia-Pacific ( IF 2.545 ) Pub Date : 2019-05-16 , DOI: 10.1093/irap/lcz004
Joonbum Bae 1
Affiliation  

Abstract
Can positive domestic messages generated by a foreign policy of engagement toward another country change public views regarding that state? How resistant are such changes to events that contradict the positive messages? I argue that while positive government messages about an adversary can significantly improve public opinion, highly consequential foreign policy events that contradict the messages influence public opinion at the cost of elites’ ability to shape it through their messages. Such differing effects can lead to a polarization of opinion when the content of the messages and the nature of events diverge from each other. Leveraging the unpredictability of North Korea’s foreign policy behavior, the South Korean government’s sustained policy of engagement toward it during the years 1998–2007, and North Korea’s first two nuclear tests to examine the relative impact of consequential foreign policy events and elite messages on public opinion, I find strong evidence consistent with this argument.


中文翻译:

参与限制?1995-2013年的日照政策,核试验和朝鲜对朝鲜的看法

摘要
外交政策对另一个国家产生的积极国内信息能改变公众对该国的看法吗?对与正面信息相矛盾的事件的这种改变有多耐性?我认为,尽管政府对敌人的正面信息可以极大地改善公众舆论,但与信息相矛盾的高度后果的外交政策事件却影响着公众舆论,而精英阶层却无法通过自己的信息来塑造舆论。当消息的内容和事件的性质彼此不同时,这种不同的效果可能导致意见分歧。借助朝鲜外交政策行为的不可预测性,韩国政府在1998-2007年间坚持了对朝鲜的持续交往政策,
更新日期:2019-05-16
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