This study compares and analyzes simulations of ozone under different scenarios by three CMIP6 models (IPSL-CM6A, MRI-ESM2 and CESM-WACCM). Results indicate that as the social vulnerability and anthropogenic radiative forcing is increasing, the change of total column ozone in the tropical stratosphere is not linear. Compared to the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, the SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0 are more favorable for the increase in stratospheric ozone mass in the tropics. Arctic ozone would never recover under the SSP1-2.6 scenario; however, the Antarctica ozone would gradually recover in all scenarios. Under the SSP1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5 scenarios, the trend of tropical total column ozone is mainly determined by the trend of column ozone in the tropical troposphere. Under the SSP3-7.0 scenario, tropospheric ozone concentration will significantly increase; under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, ozone concentration will distinctly increase in the middle and lower troposphere.

中文翻译：

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不同CMIP6情景下的臭氧变化趋势

本研究通过三种CMIP6模型（IPSL-CM6A，MRI-ESM2和CESM-WACCM）比较并分析了在不同情况下的臭氧模拟。结果表明，随着社会脆弱性和人为辐射强迫的增加，热带平流层中总柱臭氧的变化不是线性的。与SSP2-4.5和SSP5-8.5方案相比，SSP1-2.6和SSP3-7.0更有利于热带平流层臭氧质量的增加。在SSP1-2.6情景下，北极臭氧将永远无法恢复；但是，南极臭氧将在所有情况下逐渐恢复。在SSP1-2.6和SSP2-4.5情景下，热带总柱臭氧的趋势主要由热带对流层中柱臭氧的趋势决定。在SSP3-7.0方案下，对流层臭氧浓度将大大增加；