当前位置: X-MOL 学术Nat. Commun. › 论文详情
Our official English website, www.x-mol.net, welcomes your feedback! (Note: you will need to create a separate account there.)
Emergency deployment of direct air capture as a response to the climate crisis
Nature Communications ( IF 16.6 ) Pub Date : 2021-01-14 , DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-20437-0
Ryan Hanna , Ahmed Abdulla , Yangyang Xu , David G. Victor

Though highly motivated to slow the climate crisis, governments may struggle to impose costly polices on entrenched interest groups, resulting in a greater need for negative emissions. Here, we model wartime-like crash deployment of direct air capture (DAC) as a policy response to the climate crisis, calculating funding, net CO2 removal, and climate impacts. An emergency DAC program, with investment of 1.2–1.9% of global GDP annually, removes 2.2–2.3 GtCO2 yr–1 in 2050, 13–20 GtCO2 yr–1 in 2075, and 570–840 GtCO2 cumulatively over 2025–2100. Compared to a future in which policy efforts to control emissions follow current trends (SSP2-4.5), DAC substantially hastens the onset of net-zero CO2 emissions (to 2085–2095) and peak warming (to 2090–2095); yet warming still reaches 2.4–2.5 °C in 2100. Such massive CO2 removals hinge on near-term investment to boost the future capacity for upscaling. DAC is most cost-effective when using electricity sources already available today: hydropower and natural gas with renewables; fully renewable systems are more expensive because their low load factors do not allow efficient amortization of capital-intensive DAC plants.



中文翻译:

紧急部署直接空中捕获以应对气候危机

尽管积极地减缓了气候危机的动力,但各国政府仍可能难以对根深蒂固的利益集团强加昂贵的政策,导致对负排放的更大需求。在这里,我们将类似于战时的直接空袭(DAC)的崩溃部署建模为对气候危机的政策响应,计算资金,净CO 2去除量和气候影响。一项紧急DAC项目,每年投资占全球GDP的1.2–1.9%,到2050年消除2.2–2.3 GtCO 2–1,到2075年消除13–20 GtCO 2–1,以及570–840 GtCO 2累计超过2025年至2100年。与控制排放的政策努力遵循当前趋势(SSP2-4.5)的未来相比,DAC大大加快了净零CO 2排放(至2085-2095)和峰值变暖(至2090-2095)的开始;然而,到2100年,变暖仍达到2.4–2.5°C。如此大量的CO 2去除取决于近期投资,以提高未来的升级能力。使用当今已经可用的电源时,DAC最具成本效益:水力发电和天然气以及可再生能源;完全可再生系统的价格较高,因为它们的低负载系数无法有效地摊销资本密集型DAC工厂。

更新日期:2021-01-14
down
wechat
bug