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The Dynamics of Thefts and Robberies in São Paulo’s Metro, Brazil
European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research ( IF 2.227 ) Pub Date : 2020-08-25 , DOI: 10.1007/s10610-020-09462-3
Vania Ceccato , Gustavo Moreira

The aim of this study is to assess the nature and space-temporal dynamics of property crimes (theft and robbery) in transport nodes, namely, metro stations and their immediate surrounding areas. The analysis is based on crime data over São Paulo’s metro system from 2010 to 2017. Drawing from environmental criminology theory, the methodology combines geographical information system (GIS) as well as statistical analysis using hypothesis testing and negative binomial regression models. Results show that thefts happen more often inside the station and robberies outside, with signs of possible interaction between these environments. Crime is often highly concentrated in a few inner city and end stations, but it varies depending on location and time. Future research and policy implications of the results add to the contribution of this current study.



中文翻译:

巴西圣保罗地铁的盗窃和抢劫动态

本研究的目的是评估交通节点(即地铁站及其周边地区)财产犯罪(盗窃和抢劫)的性质和时空动态。该分析基于 2010 年至 2017 年圣保罗地铁系统的犯罪数据。该方法借鉴了环境犯罪学理论,结合了地理信息系统 (GIS) 以及使用假设检验和负二项式回归模型的统计分析。结果表明,盗窃在车站内发生,在车站外发生抢劫的频率更高,这些环境之间可能存在相互作用的迹象。犯罪往往高度集中在少数内城和终点站,但因地点和时间而异。结果的未来研究和政策含义增加了本研究的贡献。

更新日期:2020-08-25
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