ABSTRACT Central parts of southern Africa are expected to face major environmental and economic changes in the near future, calling for proactive thinking on how local people could diversify their livelihoods. In Botswana, the tourism industry is considered as a major option for economic diversification and current tourism policies include a strong emphasis on tourism that participates in and benefits communities. The developmental impact of tourism depends on how the local communities perceive their livelihood options and the role of tourism. This paper analyses how community members in selected villages in Kalahari Desert perceive the current and estimated future impacts of climate change and how these impacts may influence their livelihoods in future and what role the tourism industry may play in that process. Based on the results, there are minimal local benefits and participation in tourism, which limits the potential of tourism to work for sustainable local development in practice.

中文翻译：

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不断变化的喀拉哈里社会生态：博茨瓦纳 Kgalagadi 当地对环境变化和旅游业的看法

摘要 南部非洲中部地区预计在不久的将来将面临重大的环境和经济变化，需要积极思考当地人如何实现生计多样化。在博茨瓦纳，旅游业被认为是经济多样化的主要选择，当前的旅游政策包括非常重视参与社区并使社区受益的旅游业。旅游业的发展影响取决于当地社区如何看待他们的生计选择和旅游业的作用。本文分析了喀拉哈里沙漠选定村庄的社区成员如何看待气候变化的当前和估计的未来影响，以及这些影响如何影响他们未来的生计，以及旅游业在这一过程中可能发挥的作用。根据结果​​，